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Next Gen Risk Takers

This editorial was written by: Hombre Sabio

As we all know, the next generation of consoles is growing nearer and nearer. Each company is doing something that will potentially either put them in first place, or perhaps bring them nothing but failure. So, what is each company’s risk and what are the best and worst case scenarios? Well, to answer that question, I’ve written up this little article here.

Microsoft
Microsoft’s big risk next generation is, of course, being the first the make the jump to the new generation. Not being the leader in this generation is what makes this a big risk. 3rd party companies may not be willing to develop across two different generations.

Best Case
In the best case scenario, Microsoft makes a clean jump and gets a head start in sales over the others, thus giving them a good shot at taking over first place. This will pan out if 3rd party companies make the jump with them. And things start looking really well if they can manage to strong arm some much needed Japanese support.

Worst Case
By not being the leader this generation and making the jump this soon, they risk alienating 3rd party companies. Simply put, 3rd party companies go where the money is. They may very well stay back with Sony and Nintendo in the current generation. Sony, of course, since they are the current leaders and Nintendo because that would make 2 companies in the current generation and only 1 in the next generation. The companies can make more money and easier ports working with just Sony and Nintendo.

Nintendo
Nintendo’s risk is their promise of a revolution for the industry. Their next generation system is going to clearly be much different from the other two in order for it to truly be a revolution. This risk, as with Microsoft’s risk, creates potential problems with 3rd party companies.

Best Case
Nintendo makes the Revolution intriguing to developers. While it may be different, it is a welcome change and is both appealing and interesting to the developers. In this scenario Nintendo gathers much 3rd party support.

Worst Case
The Revolution ends up being too different or perhaps not appealing enough. Developers shy away from the radically different capabilities of the Revolution and seek shelter with Sony and Microsoft.

Sony
Sony’s risk is their cell processor chip idea. It’s clearly going to be very powerful and exciting. But it’s once again up to the 3rd party developers to decide how to use it.

Best Case
Third party companies are intrigued by the capabilities of the cell processor. They find it to me new and exciting and capable of great new things. Third party companies rush to develop new games for the PS3.

Worst Case
The cell processor ends up being difficult to develop for, or perhaps too difficult to utilize it’s full potential. Or perhaps it just ends up being intimidating to many developers. Any of these could drive 3rd party support away.



As you can see, all three of the companies are risking it all next generation. And the risks they are taking rely heavily on how the 3rd party companies feel about the respective consoles. Now, these are just best and worse case scenarios. This doesn’t mean that all of these things will happen, or that any of these things will happen. These are just the polar opposites. There could be mixtures of any of these things. No matter what the outcomes, though, things will certainly be heating up and we’ll be sure to reap some excellent benefits from the next generation of consoles.



-Hombre Sabio


 
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